New Poll shows Tight Race
LOUISIANA IN COMMON
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE | October 28, 2026
Media inquiries: info@louisianaincommon.org
New Poll Shows Jamie Davis Within One Point Among Voters Who Say They Have Voted or Definitely Will
The group represents 83 percent of the weighted sample
NEW ORLEANS — Jamie Davis and Julia Letlow are separated by less than one percentage point among respondents who say they have already voted or will definitely vote, according to a new statewide poll released by Louisiana in Common.
The Lincoln Park Strategies survey finds Democrat Davis at 43.8% and Republican Letlow at 44.6% within this group, a gap of just 0.8 percentage points. These respondents represent 82.5% of the weighted sample.
“A race this close among voters who are most certain to participate deserves national attention,” Chris Montana, Director of Louisiana in Common, said. “This group accounts for more than four-fifths of the weighted sample. Jamie Davis has a serious opening, and Louisiana’s Senate race should not be written off.”
Davis is posting competitive numbers while many Louisiana voters are still getting to know him. The poll finds that 42% of respondents have yet to form an opinion of Davis, including 20% of all respondents who say they have never heard of him. Two earlier polls, conducted by Public Policy Polling in July and Hart Research Associates in September, each put Davis just four points behind. LIC believes the lack of sustained national coverage has contributed to this awareness gap, even as multiple polls have shown a competitive race.
LIC sees a clear opportunity for donors to help a competitive candidate reach voters who have not yet heard his case.
Across the full sample of 608 likely voters, Davis receives 40.2% and Letlow 45.8%.
Additional findings reinforce the case for Davis
Davis leads 54% to 37% among respondents who express an opinion of both candidates. This group represents 54% of the weighted sample and includes respondents who give each candidate a favorable or unfavorable rating.
Davis has a positive image, with many voters still forming an opinion. Thirty-seven percent view him favorably and 20% unfavorably, while 42% have yet to form an opinion.
Davis’s supporters report strong commitment to voting. Nearly 90% say they will definitely vote or have already cast a ballot.
About the poll
Lincoln Park Strategies interviewed 608 likely Louisiana general election voters October 22–25, 2026, using text-to-web and email invitations. Results were weighted. The pollster reports a full-sample margin of error of ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The headline figures are a subgroup calculation from the poll’s weighted crosstabs.
About Louisiana in Common
Louisiana in Common (LIC) is a political action committee that supports practical, ethical leaders and policies that improve the lives of everyday Louisianians. LIC puts integrity, competence, and public service ahead of party loyalty and opposes corruption and self-dealing regardless of party. The organization endorsed Jamie Davis because it believes his experience as a farmer and local public servant offers the grounded, accountable leadership Louisiana needs. His commitment to serving Louisiana’s families and communities reflects LIC’s belief that elected officials should answer to their constituents and use public office to improve people’s lives.
For media inquiries, contact info@louisianaincommon.org.
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